Brighton x Arsenal Betting tips for January 4 in England Premier League
| 📅 4/1/2025 17:30 |
 Brighton4.20 |
X 3.85 |
Arsenal  1.78 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Brighton x Arsenal:
🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $890.00!
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The main points for the tip for Brighton x Arsenal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. |
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Analysis from Brighton x Arsenal for the England Premier League – 4 of January
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🏟️ Brighton X Arsenal – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brighton x Arsenal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1241796 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Brighton x Arsenal
Is it a good idea to bet on Brighton?
🔵 Brighton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $384.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$384.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Arsenal?
🔴 Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $561.60
- And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$281.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Arsenal
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton x Arsenal
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Brighton.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Brighton.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton x Arsenal
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
