Brighton x Burnley Betting tips for January 3 in England Premier League
| 📅 3/1/2026 15:00 |
 Brighton1.50 |
X 4.20 |
Burnley  6.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brighton x Burnley:
🔮 Brighton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brighton, you can win up to $750.00!
Important information for your tip for Brighton x Burnley:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Burnley scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Brighton x Burnley for the England Premier League – 3 of January
🏟️ Brighton X Burnley – England Premier League
📅 3 of January, 2026 – 15:00
🔵 Brighton – Winning probability: 83.53% | Fair line: 1.2
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.59% | Fair line: 8.62
🔴 Burnley – Winning probability: 4.88% | Fair line: 20.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for Brighton x Burnley
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brighton and Burnley.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1457642 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is it worth betting on Brighton?
🔵 Brighton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 840 times – having a profit of $420.00;
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $384.00;
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.
Should you bet on Burnley?
🔴 Burnley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $275.00;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$675.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Burnley
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton x Burnley
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Brighton. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton x Burnley
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
