Brighton x Manchester City Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Brighton x Manchester City, Saturday, 9/11/2024

📅 9/11/2024 17:30

Brighton 4.50

X 4.04

Manchester City 1.67

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brighton x Manchester City:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $835.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Brighton x Manchester City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-78.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-267.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Brighton scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Manchester City scored at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Brighton matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Manchester City matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Brighton conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Manchester City conceded at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Brighton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Manchester City. 👉 Manchester City is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 6 away matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession. 👉 It is not a good time for Manchester City as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Brighton x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 9 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Brighton and Manchester City.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218440 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brighton x Manchester City

Should you bet on Brighton?

🔵 Brighton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $315.00;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $182.40;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$757.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 85.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 850 times – profiting $569.50;
• And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$419.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brighton x Manchester City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Brighton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brighton x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Brighton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Brighton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Brighton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brighton x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.