Burnley x Fulham Betting tips for December 13 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Burnley x Fulham, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 17:30

Burnley 3.75

X 3.50

Fulham 1.98

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Burnley x Fulham:

🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $990.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Burnley x Fulham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 Burnley did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Fulham, Burnley scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Burnley matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Fulham.
👉 Burnley has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Fulham playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Burnley as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Burnley vs Fulham:

🔥 The match between Burnley and Fulham promises to be an interesting duel at Turf Moor, Burnleys historic stadium, where they have a long unbeaten streak against Fulham since 1951! Despite that, the Clarets are in poor form, with 6 consecutive losses in the Premier League and sitting near the bottom of the table. Fulham is also not in good shape, with 7 losses in the last 10 games and some concerns about key injuries.

📊 Recent statistics show that Burnley has an average of only 0.6 goals scored per home game (3 goals in 5 matches) and concedes more goals than they score (1.4 conceded per game). Fulham away has an average of about 1 goal scored per game but concedes almost double (1.8). The visitors dominate shots: an average of 10 shots against 8 for the home team, plus slightly more possession for Fulham (51% vs 45%).

📈 In the Premier League table, Burnley is in a critical relegation zone (19th), desperately needing points to escape the drop. Fulham is a bit more comfortable in the mid-table position (15th), but is on a bad streak that could pressure them to win and move further away from danger.

📰 The news supports this analysis: Burnley is down after a recent loss with an important red card; Fulham faces physical problems in the squad and a negative streak under current management.

Fair odds calculated considering median odds adjusted for house margins indicate something close to:

• Burnley win: ~24%
• Draw: ~26%
• Fulham win: ~50%

Thus, fair odds would be approximately:

• Burnley: ~4.2
• Draw: ~3.85
• Fulham: ~2.0

Compared to final odds, there is a positive expected value for betting on the visitor/Fulham (~13%), while bets on the draw or Clarets win have negative EV.

Bets Kenya Club Suggestion:
The model clearly indicates value in betting on Fulhams win due to their better relative form even away and the current difficulties of the home team.

Personal analysis:
I totally agree! Even playing at Turf Moor — traditionally a tough place for visitors — the Clarets bad form combined with psychological pressure from relegation could weigh negatively on them.
Also, injuries in the visiting team are concerning but not enough to nullify their statistical favoritism.
My recommended bet is Fulhams victory, as it shows a higher fair probability aligned with the teams real conditions.
Estimated expected value for this bet is around +13%, indicating a good opportunity!

Good luck! 🍀⚽️ #PremierLeague #BurnleyVsFulham #SportsBetting 📊📰📈

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Burnley x Fulham?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Burnley x Fulham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Burnley x Fulham for the England Premier League – 13 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Burnley x Fulham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about Burnley x Fulham

Burnley: Burnley suffered a 2-1 defeat to Newcastle on December 6, 2025, with goals from Bruno Guimarães of Newcastle, who scored directly from a corner, and a penalty converted by A. Gordon, while Burnleys only goal was a late penalty taken by Z. Flemming after L. Pires Silva was sent off in the 43rd minute; the Clarets remain at the bottom of the Premier League table, occupying 19th position after the loss.

Fulham: Fulhams last Premier League match ended in a 1-2 home defeat to Crystal Palace on December 7, 2025, with a late header goal from Marc Guehi securing fourth place for Palace, and Harry Wilson saving a point for the Eagles with a spectacular trivela shot; the result left Fulham in 15th place after a streak of seven defeats in their last ten league games – the worst ten-game period under Marco Silva – and raised concerns about injuries, as Ryan Sessegnon did not play due to a thigh problem, with Timothy Castagne replacing him, while the club still seeks to break a winless streak against Palace that extends since January 2005.

Table analysis for the match between Burnley x Fulham

Burnley: Burnley is in 19th place, with only 10 points and still without a win this season, occupying a relegation zone. This game is crucial to try to earn points and escape relegation, as the gap to the team immediately above (West Ham with 13 points) is just 3 points, and the season still has rounds for recovery. Therefore, this match is very important for Burnley, which desperately needs a reaction to avoid dropping to the lower division. ⚠️

Fulham: Fulham is in 15th place, with 17 points, slightly better than Burnley but still close to the relegation zone. A victory in this away game can provide more peace of mind and distance from the risk of relegation, especially against a direct opponent in the fight to stay up. Thus, the game presents an important opportunity for Fulham to secure more stability and move towards Premier League permanence. 💪

Summary: This match is very important for both teams, with Burnley desperately seeking points to avoid relegation, and Fulham aiming to consolidate their stay in the English top flight. A decisive showdown at the bottom of the table! ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Burnley x Fulham

Is it a good idea to bet on Burnley?

🔵 Burnley: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $357.50;
• And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$512.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$265.00.

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔴 Fulham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $637.00;
• And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$287.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Burnley x Fulham

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Burnley
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Burnley x Fulham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Burnley and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Burnley.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Burnley.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Burnley x Fulham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.