Chelsea x Bournemouth Betting tips for May 19 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Bournemouth, Sunday, 19/5/2024

📅 19/5/2024 15:00

Chelsea 1.47

X 4.78

Bournemouth 5.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chelsea x Bournemouth:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $735.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chelsea x Bournemouth: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $243.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bournemouth in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0. 👉 Chelsea did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Chelsea x Bournemouth, with Chelsea as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Chelsea is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Chelsea x Bournemouth for the England Premier League – 19 of May

When the best bet on Chelsea x Bournemouth is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1120517 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Bournemouth

Is betting on Chelsea worth it?

🔵 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $385.40;
• And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$205.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $415.80
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$474.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bournemouth?

🔴 Bournemouth: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $356.80;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$563.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Bournemouth

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Bournemouth

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Chelsea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Chelsea.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Bournemouth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Bournemouth

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.