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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Chelsea x Crystal Palace Betting tips for September 1 in England Premier League
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 09h30 England Premier League
Chelsea Chelsea
PREDICTION Chelsea wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Chelsea x Crystal Palace Betting tips for September 1 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Crystal Palace, Sunday, 1/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/9/2024
09:30
Chelsea Chelsea
1.72
X
4.00
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
4.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chelsea x Crystal Palace:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Chelsea wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $860.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chelsea x Crystal Palace:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-219.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $95.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Crystal Palace, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Chelsea matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Crystal Palace matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Chelsea has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Crystal Palace.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chelsea x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 1 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Chelsea X Crystal Palace – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 1 of September, 2024 – 09:30
๐Ÿ”ต Chelsea – Winning probability: 69.32% | Fair line: 1.44
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.20% | Fair line: 6.58
๐Ÿ”ด Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 15.47% | Fair line: 6.46
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chelsea
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Chelsea x Crystal Palace is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1171332 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chelsea x Crystal Palace

Is it worth betting on Chelsea?

๐Ÿ”ต Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $496.80
  • And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$186.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$400.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Crystal Palace?

๐Ÿ”ด Crystal Palace: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $525.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$325.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Crystal Palace

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chelsea
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Crystal Palace

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Chelsea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Crystal Palace

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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