Chelsea x Everton Betting tips for December 13 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Everton, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 15:00

Chelsea 1.60

X 4.00

Everton 5.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chelsea x Everton:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $800.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Chelsea x Everton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-17.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Everton, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Everton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Everton has not lost any of them.
👉 Chelsea has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Everton playing at home.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Chelsea vs Everton:

Lets analyze the match between Chelsea and Everton at Stamford Bridge, a traditional stadium and home of Chelsea, which already gives a natural advantage to the home team. ⚽️

📊 Recent statistics show that Chelsea has a strong offensive performance at home, averaging 2.6 goals scored in the last 5 home games (13 goals in 5 games) and only 0.8 conceded, plus dominating possession (58%) and creating many chances (17 shots per game). Everton, on the other hand, shows more modest numbers away: an average of just 0.6 goals in the last 5 away games and more shots conceded (16 per game), with low possession (38%). This indicates a favorable scenario for Chelsea.

📰 News reinforces this analysis: despite Chelseas recent defeat in the Champions League which may affect morale, they still play in their historic stadium where they are usually strong; meanwhile, Everton comes in high spirits after a convincing win in the Premier League and is in good team form. However, the pressure on Chelsea to win is higher due to their Champions League situation.

📈 In the league table, although exact data isnt detailed here, we know both teams seek important points — especially Chelsea to recover from a poor streak — increasing motivation to seek a positive result.

Analyzing the median odds given by bookmakers: Chelseas victory at odds ~1.6 implies an implied probability close to 60%, a draw ~4 (~25%), and Evertons win ~5.25 (~15%). Normalizing these probabilities gives something close to that.

Our fair estimate considering statistics + context suggests a realistic probability for Chelseas victory between 60-65%, a draw around 22-25%, and Evertons win around 12-15%. This results in fair odds approximately: Chelsea ~1.55, draw ~4.3, and Everton ~7.

The comparison with the predictions from Bets Kenya shows that it overestimates the home teams win chance (~73% implied) offering very low odds (1.37), heavily underestimating the visitors chances by predicting very high odds (>13). The expected value calculated by the model clearly favors betting on the home team (+20%), but this seems exaggerated given the real data.

However, the final odds from bookmakers are more balanced between our fair estimate and the Bets Kenya model — mainly suggesting value in betting on Chelsea, but not dismissing a possible draw or even a moderate upset from the visitors if they can exploit quick counterattacks.

Suggestion: Bet on Chelseas victory, as there is clear positive value considering recent stats + home advantage + psychological need after Champions; estimated EV above +10%. Avoid betting on the draw or Everton due to the low realistic expectation of these options compared to the offered odds.

Good luck! 🍀⚽️

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Chelsea x Everton?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Chelsea x Everton for the England Premier League – 13 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chelsea and Everton.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on the match between Chelsea and Everton

Chelsea: The mens team of Chelsea suffered a 2-1 defeat to Atalanta in the Champions League on December 9, 2025, with a late goal from Charles De Ketelaere ending their hopes of finishing in the top eight and extending a streak of four games without wins across all competitions; coach Enzo Maresca warned that the remaining two Champions League matches must be won to avoid a playoff and halt the teams decline, while the clubs schedule now includes Premier League matches against Everton (December 13), Newcastle (December 20), and Aston Villa (December 27), plus a quarter-final Carabao Cup match against Cardiff on December 16. In the womens team, Chelseas record unbeaten streak of 34 matches in the WSL was broken by a 1-0 loss to Everton on December 7, 2025, although they later thrashed Roma 6-0 in the Womens Champions League, and concerns remain about the low expected attacking line performance despite the teams overall strength.

Everton: Everton continued their strong streak in the Premier League on December 6, 2025, with a 3-0 victory over Nottingham Forest at Hill Dickinson Stadium, climbing to fifth place; French forward Thierno Barry, in his 17th appearance since transferring for £27 million from Villarreal, opened the scoring with his first goal for the club, while midfield duo Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall stood out with creative performances, and defender James Tarkowski avoided a possible red card after a ball-out altercation with Forests Dan Ndoye that drew complaints from the opposing team. In the womens team, Everton also drew attention by ending Chelseas record 34-match unbeaten run in the WSL with a 1-0 victory, highlighted by a late goal from Bunny Shaw, marking a period of optimism for both mens and womens teams.

Table analysis for the match between Chelsea and Everton

Chelsea: Chelsea is in 5th place with 25 points, directly fighting for a spot in the UEFA Europa League. A win against Everton at this stage of the season could be crucial to distance themselves from the immediate competitors (6th and 7th places with 25 and 24 points, respectively), thus securing a comfortable position among the qualifiers for international tournaments. With the table still competitive at the top, this game is very important for Chelsea to achieve their European qualification goal. ⚽🔥

Everton: Everton is in 7th place with 24 points, just one point behind Chelsea and the other teams in the middle top of the table. They still have real chances to surpass teams like Chelsea and Manchester United (6th place with 25 points) to secure a spot in international competitions, making the match against Chelsea crucial to keep their hopes alive. A victory could be a significant leap, while a poor result might push the team away from this tight race. 🚀

Summary: The match is important for both teams, as Chelsea and Everton are in direct contention for international competition spots, and small slips could cost key positions in the table. This classic promises to be competitive and decisive for the immediate future of both clubs in the Premier League. 🏆

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chelsea x Everton

Is it worth betting on Chelsea?

🔵 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $420.00;
• And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$120.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is betting on Everton worth it?

🔴 Everton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $425.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$475.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Everton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Everton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Chelsea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Everton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Everton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.