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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Chelsea x Fulham Betting tips for December 26 in England Premier League
Thursday, 26 December 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Chelsea Chelsea
PREDICTION Chelsea wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Fulham Fulham
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Chelsea x Fulham Betting tips for December 26 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Fulham, Thursday, 26/12/2024
📅 26/12/2024
15:00
Chelsea Chelsea
1.47
X
4.60
Fulham Fulham
5.78

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chelsea x Fulham:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $735.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chelsea x Fulham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-82.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Fulham, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Chelsea x Fulham, with Chelsea as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Chelsea matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Chelsea is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.
👉 Chelsea is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Fulham has not lost any of them.
👉 Chelsea has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fulham playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chelsea x Fulham for the England Premier League – 26 of December

🏟️ Chelsea X Fulham – England Premier League
📅 26 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Chelsea – Winning probability: 84.11% | Fair line: 1.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.10% | Fair line: 9.01
🔴 Fulham – Winning probability: 4.79% | Fair line: 20.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chelsea and Fulham.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1239928 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Chelsea x Fulham

Is it worth betting on Chelsea?

🔵 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 84.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $394.80
  • And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$234.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $396.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$494.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fulham?

🔴 Fulham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $239.00
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$711.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Fulham

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Fulham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Chelsea, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Chelsea.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Chelsea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Fulham

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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