Chelsea x Ipswich Betting tips for April 13 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Ipswich, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 13:00

Chelsea 1.33

X 5.68

Ipswich 8.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chelsea x Ipswich:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $665.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Chelsea x Ipswich: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $184.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ipswich in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0. 👉 Chelsea did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Chelsea matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ipswich conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Chelsea is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Chelsea x Ipswich for the England Premier League – 13 of April

When the best bet on Chelsea x Ipswich is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Ipswich

Is it worth betting on Chelsea?

🔵 Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 870 times – profiting $287.10;
• And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$157.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $421.20;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$488.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ipswich?

🔴 Ipswich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Ipswich

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Ipswich

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Chelsea.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Ipswich

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.