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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Chelsea x Tottenham Betting tips for April 3 in England Premier League
Thursday, 03 April 2025, 19h00 England Premier League
Chelsea Chelsea
PREDICTION Chelsea wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
Tottenham Tottenham
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Chelsea x Tottenham Betting tips for April 3 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Tottenham, Thursday, 3/4/2025
📅 3/4/2025
19:00
Chelsea Chelsea
1.62
X
4.55
Tottenham Tottenham
4.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chelsea x Tottenham:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Chelsea x Tottenham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 Chelsea did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tottenham, Chelsea scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tottenham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Chelsea is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Chelsea has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Tottenham playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Chelsea x Tottenham for the England Premier League – 3 of April

🏟️ Chelsea X Tottenham – England Premier League
📅 3 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Chelsea – Winning probability: 79.26% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.95% | Fair line: 11.18
🔴 Tottenham – Winning probability: 11.80% | Fair line: 8.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chelsea and Tottenham.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Tottenham

Should you bet on Chelsea?

🔵 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $489.80
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$279.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $319.50
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$590.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tottenham?

🔴 Tottenham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Tottenham

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Tottenham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Chelsea. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Tottenham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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