Crystal Palace x Aston Villa Betting tips for May 19 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Aston Villa, Sunday, 19/5/2024

📅 19/5/2024 15:00

Crystal Palace 2.30

X 3.68

Aston Villa 2.72

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Crystal Palace x Aston Villa:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Important information for your tip for Crystal Palace x Aston Villa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $230.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $600.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Aston Villa, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace x Aston Villa, with Crystal Palace as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Crystal Palace conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Aston Villa. 👉 Crystal Palace is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Aston Villa as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Crystal Palace x Aston Villa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crystal Palace x Aston Villa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crystal Palace x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 19 of May

When the best bet on Crystal Palace x Aston Villa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1120517 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Aston Villa

Should you bet on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 660 times – profiting $858.00;
• And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$518.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $428.80;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$411.20.

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔴 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $292.40
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$537.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Aston Villa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Aston Villa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Crystal Palace.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Aston Villa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.