Crystal Palace x Brighton Betting tips for April 5 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Brighton, Saturday, 5/4/2025

📅 5/4/2025 14:00

Crystal Palace 2.55

X 3.48

Brighton 2.62

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Brighton:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $1275.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Crystal Palace x Brighton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $148.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $293.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brighton scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Brighton, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace x Brighton, with Crystal Palace as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Brighton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Crystal Palace conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Brighton. 👉 Crystal Palace is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Brighton has not lost any of them. 👉 Crystal Palace has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Brighton playing at home.

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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Brighton for the England Premier League – 5 of April

When the best bet on Crystal Palace x Brighton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1295985 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Brighton

Should you bet on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $868.00;
• And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$428.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $496.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$304.00.

Is betting on Brighton worth it?

🔴 Brighton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $388.80;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$371.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Brighton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Crystal Palace.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.