Crystal Palace x Burnley Betting tips for February 11 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Burnley, Wednesday, 11/2/2026

📅 11/2/2026 19:30

Crystal Palace 1.66

X 3.70

Burnley 5.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Burnley:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $830.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Crystal Palace x Burnley:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Burnley for the England Premier League – 11 of February

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Crystal Palace x Burnley

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Crystal Palace x Burnley.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crystal Palace x Burnley

When the best bet on Crystal Palace x Burnley is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1476248 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $501.60
• And would lose other 240 times – having a loss of -$240.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$261.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $432.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$408.00.

Is it worth betting on Burnley?

🔴 Burnley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $340.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Burnley

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Burnley

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Crystal Palace.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Burnley

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Crystal Palace x Burnley