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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Crystal Palace x Burnley Betting tips for February 24 in England Premier League
Saturday, 24 February 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
PREDICTION Crystal Palace wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Burnley Burnley
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Crystal Palace x Burnley Betting tips for February 24 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Burnley, Saturday, 24/2/2024
📅 24/2/2024
15:00
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
1.85
X
3.55
Burnley Burnley
4.08

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Burnley:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $925.00!

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Important information for your tip for Crystal Palace x Burnley:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-133.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Burnley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Burnley conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Crystal Palace conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Burnley.
👉 It is not a good time for Burnley as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Burnley for the England Premier League – 24 of February

🏟️ Crystal Palace X Burnley – England Premier League
📅 24 of February, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 55.15% | Fair line: 1.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.45% | Fair line: 4.66
🔴 Burnley – Winning probability: 23.40% | Fair line: 4.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crystal Palace x Burnley right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1063408 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Burnley

Is betting on Crystal Palace worth it?

🔵 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $467.50
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$17.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $535.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$254.50.

Should you bet on Burnley?

🔴 Burnley: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $708.40;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$61.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Burnley

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Burnley

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Crystal Palace and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Crystal Palace.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Burnley

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves