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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Crystal Palace x Fulham Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
PREDICTION Crystal Palace wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Fulham Fulham
ODD: @2.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Crystal Palace x Fulham Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Fulham, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
15:00
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
2.32
X
3.40
Fulham Fulham
2.97

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Crystal Palace x Fulham:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $1160.00!

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The main points for the tip for Crystal Palace x Fulham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 3 Crystal Palace matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Fulham for the England Premier League – 9 of November

🏟️ Crystal Palace X Fulham – England Premier League
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 50.47% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.39% | Fair line: 5.44
🔴 Fulham – Winning probability: 31.15% | Fair line: 3.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Crystal Palace and Fulham.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crystal Palace x Fulham

Is it a good idea to bet on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $432.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.

Is it worth betting on Fulham?

🔴 Fulham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $610.70;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$79.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Fulham

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Fulham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Crystal Palace.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Fulham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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