Crystal Palace x Manchester City Betting tips for December 14 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Manchester City, Sunday, 14/12/2025

📅 14/12/2025 14:00

Crystal Palace 3.90

X 3.75

Manchester City 1.87

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Manchester City:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $1950.00!

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Important information for your tip for Crystal Palace x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $14.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Manchester City, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Manchester City matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Manchester City conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?

Lets analyze the match between Crystal Palace and Manchester City at Selhurst Park, the traditional stadium of Crystal Palace, which is the true home team here. Selhurst Park is a historic and intimidating stadium for visitors, even being one of the smallest in the Premier League with a capacity of about 26,000 fans. This gives Crystal Palace a natural home advantage.

📈 Table analysis: Crystal Palace is in excellent form, occupying fourth place in the Premier League after an important win against Fulham. Manchester City also comes strong, reducing the gap to leader Arsenal and boosted by a dramatic victory over Real Madrid in the Champions League. Both teams are highly motivated to win this match.

Looking at recent stats:
– Crystal Palace has scored an average of 1 goal per game at home in recent matches and conceded 1 goal per game.
– Manchester City averages 2 goals scored away and concedes about 2 goals.
– In ball possession, City dominates with an average of 58% compared to 45% for Palace.
– In shots on goal, City also has a clear advantage (17 vs 13 average shots).
These data show that despite Manchester Citys technical dominance, Crystal Palace has been able to defend well at home and maintain good offensive efficiency.

From the median odds, we have the implied normalized probabilities:
– Crystal Palace win: ~23%
– Draw: ~24%
– Manchester City win: ~53%
This reflects the greater strength attributed to the visitor by the market.

However, considering Crystal Palaces solid defensive stats at Selhurst Park combined with their recent good form (including advancing in the Conference League), I would adjust these probabilities to be more balanced:
– Crystal Palace win: about 30%
– Draw: about 25%
– Manchester City win: about 45%

Thus, fair odds would be approximately:
Crystal Palace @3.33 | Draw @4.0 | Manchester City @2.22

Calculating the expected value based on the final odds given (3.9 /3.33 -1)*100 = +17% for Eagles win — this indicates positive value in this bet! The offered odds are above the estimated fair value based on the analysis of combined statistics and recent news.

📰 News:
Crystal Palaces great current form reinforces this view — they are playing very well at home under Oliver Glasner; additionally, Tyrick Mitchell has been standing out, while Marc Guehi maintains important defensive solidity.
Pep Guardiola praised his team but warned that there are still challenges ahead in the league and Champions League; this could indicate some extra pressure on the Citizens in this intense final stretch.

Final analysis:
I partially agree with our Bets Kenya club model that suggests value in the home win (home_pred_ev high). Despite the low odds indicating clear favoritism for Manchester City, I see a real chance for the Eagles to surprise or at least hold a valuable draw against this strong opponent.
My suggestion is to bet on the double chance (win or draw) favoring Crystal Palace, as there is evident value in the current odds given their recent good performances combined with their historical strength playing at Selhurst Park.
Betting only on the visitor does not seem to have enough positive value according to my detailed analysis here.

Good luck! 🍀⚽

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Crystal Palace x Manchester City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crystal Palace x Manchester City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crystal Palace x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 14 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Crystal Palace and Manchester City.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news on Crystal Palace x Manchester City

Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace is going through a great phase, currently in fourth place in the Premier League after a 2-1 victory against Fulham on December 8, 2025, when Marc Guehi scored the winning header in the final minutes and left-back Tyrick Mitchell impressed enough to be linked to a World Cup call-up by England. Additionally, the team advanced in the UEFA Conference League with a 3-0 away win over Shelbourne in Dublin on December 11, 2025 – goals from Christantus Uche, Eddie Nketiah, and Yeremy Pino took the Eagles to ninth place, close to automatic qualification for the knockout stage. Coach Oliver Glasner has highlighted the club’s upcoming nine-match schedule, and the win against Fulham sparked debate over a possible unawarded penalty.

Manchester City: Manchester City secured a dramatic 2-1 victory in the Champions League against Real Madrid at the Bernabéu on December 10, 2025, with Erling Haaland scoring the winning goal and the team climbing to fourth place in the group stage table. Pep Guardiola praised the performance but warned that the club is still “far” from winning the competition. The victory also helped City narrow the gap in the Premier League, getting closer to Arsenal after a 3-0 win over Sunderland, reducing the lead difference to just two points.

Table analysis for the match between Crystal Palace and Manchester City

Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace is in 4th place with 26 points, maintaining a position that guarantees a spot in the Champions League. This match against Manchester City is very important for them because a positive result can further solidify this spot among Europes top teams, especially against a direct rival in the title race. Additionally, playing at home increases the pressure to secure the 3 points and climb the table.

Manchester City: Manchester City is right behind, in 2nd place with 31 points, and still dreams strongly of reaching the top spot. For them, beating Crystal Palace is crucial to maintain or even reduce the gap to the leader, as well as increase the advantage over other direct competitors. Since the title is at stake, this game is essential to keep confidence high in the final stretch of the season.

Summary: It is a very important game for both teams, as they are both fighting for Champions League spots and the title. A positive result in this direct confrontation could determine decisive directions for the final stretch of the Premier League. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crystal Palace x Manchester City

Is it worth betting on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $1624.00;
• And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$1184.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $522.50;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$287.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $217.50;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$532.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Manchester City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Crystal Palace.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.