Crystal Palace x Manchester City Betting tips for December 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Manchester City, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 15:00

Crystal Palace 5.50

X 4.34

Manchester City 1.51

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Manchester City:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $755.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Crystal Palace x Manchester City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Manchester City did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 Crystal Palace matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Manchester City conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Manchester City as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Crystal Palace x Manchester City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crystal Palace x Manchester City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crystal Palace x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 7 of December

When the best bet on Crystal Palace x Manchester City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233239 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Manchester City

Is it a good idea to bet on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$670.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $367.40
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$522.60.

Is betting on Manchester City worth it?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $423.30
• And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$253.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Manchester City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Crystal Palace.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.