Crystal Palace x Newcastle Betting tips for April 24 in England Premier League
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24/4/2024 19:00 |
 Crystal Palace2.88 |
X 3.60 |
Newcastle  2.25 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Newcastle:
๐ฎ Newcastle wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $1125.00!
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Important information for your tip for Crystal Palace x Newcastle: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0. |
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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 24 of April
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๐๏ธ Crystal Palace X Newcastle – England Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Crystal Palace and Newcastle.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1104798 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Crystal Palace x Newcastle
Is it worth betting on Crystal Palace?
๐ต Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $488.80;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$251.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $676.00
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$64.00.
Is betting on Newcastle worth it?
๐ด Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $612.50;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$102.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Newcastle
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Crystal Palace
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Newcastle
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Crystal Palace, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Crystal Palace. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Newcastle
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
