Crystal Palace x Southampton Betting tips for December 29 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Crystal Palace x Southampton, Sunday, 29/12/2024

📅 29/12/2024 15:00

Crystal Palace 1.62

X 4.00

Southampton 5.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crystal Palace x Southampton:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $810.00!

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Important information for your tip for Crystal Palace x Southampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Southampton, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Southampton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Crystal Palace conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Crystal Palace x Southampton for the England Premier League – 29 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Crystal Palace x Southampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Southampton

Should you bet on Crystal Palace?

🔵 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $446.40;
• And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$166.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $570.00;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$240.00.

Is betting on Southampton worth it?

🔴 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $425.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$475.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Crystal Palace x Southampton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Crystal Palace
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crystal Palace x Southampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Crystal Palace and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Crystal Palace. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crystal Palace x Southampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.