Everton x Arsenal Betting tips for April 5 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Arsenal, Saturday, 5/4/2025

📅 5/4/2025 11:30

Everton 5.25

X 3.55

Arsenal 1.69

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Everton x Arsenal:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Everton x Arsenal

The main points for the tip for Everton x Arsenal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-309.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Everton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Arsenal has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Everton x Arsenal for the England Premier League – 5 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Everton x Arsenal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1295872 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Everton x Arsenal

Is betting on Everton worth it?

🔵 Everton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $765.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $663.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$77.00.

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔴 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $386.40
• And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$53.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Arsenal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Arsenal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Everton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Everton.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Arsenal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.