Everton x Aston Villa Betting tips for January 15 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Aston Villa, Wednesday, 15/1/2025

📅 15/1/2025 19:30

Everton 3.10

X 3.30

Aston Villa 2.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Everton x Aston Villa:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Everton x Aston Villa

Some important points for the tip for Everton x Aston Villa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. 👉 In the last 4 Everton matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Everton x Aston Villa, with Everton as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Aston Villa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Everton x Aston Villa?

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Analysis from Everton x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 15 of January

When the best bet on Everton x Aston Villa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246713 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton x Aston Villa

Is it worth betting on Everton?

🔵 Everton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $736.00
• And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$56.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Aston Villa worth it?

🔴 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $528.00;
• And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$72.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Aston Villa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Aston Villa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Everton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Everton.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Aston Villa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.