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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Everton x Chelsea Betting tips for December 22 in England Premier League
Sunday, 22 December 2024, 14h00 England Premier League
Everton Everton
PREDICTION Chelsea Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Chelsea Chelsea
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Everton x Chelsea Betting tips for December 22 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Chelsea, Sunday, 22/12/2024
📅 22/12/2024
14:00
Everton Everton
5.37
X
4.00
Chelsea Chelsea
1.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Everton x Chelsea:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $790.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Everton x Chelsea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 Everton did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Chelsea scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Everton x Chelsea, with Everton as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Chelsea matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Chelsea is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Everton x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 22 of December

🏟️ Everton X Chelsea – England Premier League
📅 22 of December, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Everton – Winning probability: 5.97% | Fair line: 16.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.36% | Fair line: 8.09
🔴 Chelsea – Winning probability: 81.67% | Fair line: 1.22
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Everton and Chelsea.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239261 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton x Chelsea

Should you bet on Everton?

🔵 Everton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $262.20
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$677.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Should you bet on Chelsea?

🔴 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 81.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $475.60;
  • And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$295.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Chelsea

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Everton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Everton.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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