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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Everton x Liverpool Betting tips for April 24 in England Premier League
Wednesday, 24 April 2024, 19h00 England Premier League
Everton Everton
PREDICTION Liverpool Wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
Liverpool Liverpool
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Everton x Liverpool Betting tips for April 24 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Liverpool, Wednesday, 24/4/2024
๐Ÿ“… 24/4/2024
19:00
Everton Everton
5.70
X
4.50
Liverpool Liverpool
1.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Everton x Liverpool:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Liverpool wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Everton x Liverpool:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-105.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-183.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Everton scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Liverpool has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Everton x Liverpool?

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Analysis from Everton x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 24 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Everton X Liverpool – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of April, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Everton – Winning probability: 5.60% | Fair line: 17.85
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.49% | Fair line: 9.53
๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool – Winning probability: 83.90% | Fair line: 1.19
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Everton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Everton and Liverpool.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1104798 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton x Liverpool

Should you bet on Everton?

๐Ÿ”ต Everton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $282.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$658.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $350.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$550.00.

Should you bet on Liverpool?

๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 83.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$260.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Liverpool

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Everton
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Liverpool

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Everton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Everton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Everton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Liverpool

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves