Everton x Liverpool Betting tips for December 7 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Liverpool, Saturday, 7/12/2024

📅 7/12/2024 12:30

Everton 7.00

X 4.73

Liverpool 1.41

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Everton x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $705.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Everton x Liverpool: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-152.0. 👉 Everton did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Everton x Liverpool, with Everton as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Liverpool matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Liverpool conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Liverpool has not lost any of them. 👉 Everton has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Liverpool playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Everton x Liverpool?

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Analysis from Everton x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Everton x Liverpool right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1233239 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Everton x Liverpool

Is it worth betting on Everton?

🔵 Everton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $240.00;
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $447.60;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$432.40.

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔴 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $348.50;
• And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$198.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Liverpool

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Everton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Everton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Everton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.