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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Everton x Nottm Forest Betting tips for December 29 in England Premier League
Sunday, 29 December 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Everton Everton
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Everton x Nottm Forest Betting tips for December 29 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Everton x Nottm Forest, Sunday, 29/12/2024
📅 29/12/2024
15:00
Everton Everton
2.60
X
3.25
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Everton x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Everton x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
👉 Everton did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.

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Summary

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Analysis from Everton x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 29 of December

🏟️ Everton X Nottm Forest – England Premier League
📅 29 of December, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Everton – Winning probability: 33.55% | Fair line: 2.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.31% | Fair line: 2.61
🔴 Nottm Forest – Winning probability: 28.14% | Fair line: 3.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Everton x Nottm Forest is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240337 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Everton x Nottm Forest

Is betting on Everton worth it?

🔵 Everton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $544.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $855.00
  • And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$235.00.

Is betting on Nottm Forest worth it?

🔴 Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $490.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Everton x Nottm Forest

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Everton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Everton x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Everton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Everton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Everton x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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