Everton x Wolverhampton Betting tips for January 7 in England Premier League
| 📅 7/1/2026 19:30 |
 Everton1.67 |
X 3.62 |
Wolverhampton  5.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Everton x Wolverhampton:
🔮 Everton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Everton, you can win up to $835.00!
Some important points for the tip for Everton x Wolverhampton:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Everton vs Wolverhampton?
⚽ The match between Everton and Wolverhampton promises to be interesting, especially playing at the new Hill Dickinson Stadium, which has been Evertons official home since mid-2025. This removes any doubt about home advantage for Everton, who should feel comfortable and motivated in their modern stadium with a capacity of over 52,000 fans.
📈 Analyzing recent statistics, Everton has a decent home performance with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game in the last five home matches (8 goals in 5 games) and suffers a similar average (1.8 goals). Wolverhampton, on the other hand, struggles away from home, with only 0.6 goals scored per game in the last five away matches and conceding about 1.8 goals per game away from their stadium.
Additionally, Everton has a higher shot average (11 vs. 7 for Wolves) and ball possession (45% vs. 38%), indicating greater control of the game when playing as the home team.
📰 Recent news shows Everton has been adjusting its squad after a recent defeat to Brentford, seeking offensive reinforcements during the transfer window to improve its offensive output — an important factor given the defensive issues highlighted in the last home loss. Conversely, Wolves recently ended a long winless streak by beating West Ham convincingly (3-0), showing positive signs under coach Rob Edwards.
Analyzing the median odds offered by bookmakers: Everton win at 1.67 (~59.9% implied), draw at 3.72 (~26.9%), and Wolves win at 5.2 (~19%). After normalizing the implied probabilities adjusted for the house margin, we get approximately: Everton ~56%, Draw ~28%, Wolves ~16%.
Based on these fair probabilities, close fair odds can be inferred as:
- Everton: Fair odds between @1.75 – @1.80
- Draw: @3.50 – @3.70
- Wolves: @4.80 – @5
However, our Bets Kenya model suggests much lower odds for the home win (@1.42), indicating high confidence in Evertons victory; the predicted odds for a draw (@4.83) and an away win (@10.88) are overly inflated compared to the actual market — this may indicate underestimation of the visitors chances or overconfidence in the home advantage.
Expected value calculations using the final odds show a significant positive value only for betting on the home team (+26%), while a draw (-27%) or away win (-56%) have strong negative expected value.
Therefore, my recommendation is to bet on the Everton victory, as well as the favorable statistics playing at their new modern stadium with massive fan support 🏟️ , they also have a clear need reinforced by recent news to react after a heavy recent defeat; Wolves, despite some improvement, still do not demonstrate enough consistency away this season.
Suggested Bet: Everton Win | Estimated Expected Value: +26%
📰 News positively influenced my analysis of the clear favoritism towards the local team due to active reinforcement efforts to fix defensive weaknesses recently highlighted; Wolves are trying to recover but remain unstable away;
📈 Both teams are fighting for mid-to-lower table positions, requiring important points — this increases pressure for a positive result, especially on the home side aiming to climb positions quickly;