Fulham x Brentford Betting tips for November 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Fulham x Brentford, Monday, 4/11/2024

📅 4/11/2024 20:00

Fulham 2.00

X 3.70

Brentford 3.48

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fulham x Brentford:

🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $1000.00!

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $1740.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Fulham x Brentford: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Brentford matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Fulham x Brentford, with Fulham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brentford conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Brentford. 👉 It is not a good time for Brentford as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Fulham x Brentford for the England Premier League – 4 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fulham x Brentford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1215076 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fulham x Brentford

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔵 Fulham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $530.00
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$60.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$482.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔴 Brentford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $843.20
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$183.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Brentford

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Brentford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Fulham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Fulham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Fulham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Brentford

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.