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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Fulham x Brighton Betting tips for December 5 in England Premier League
Thursday, 05 December 2024, 19h30 England Premier League
Fulham Fulham
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 29% 1 X 2
Brighton Brighton
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Fulham x Brighton Betting tips for December 5 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Fulham x Brighton, Thursday, 5/12/2024
📅 5/12/2024
19:30
Fulham Fulham
2.34
X
3.50
Brighton Brighton
2.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fulham x Brighton:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Fulham x Brighton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $137.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Fulham matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fulham has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Brighton playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Fulham x Brighton?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fulham x Brighton, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fulham x Brighton for the England Premier League – 5 of December

🏟️ Fulham X Brighton – England Premier League
📅 5 of December, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Fulham – Winning probability: 43.66% | Fair line: 2.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.32% | Fair line: 3.41
🔴 Brighton – Winning probability: 27.02% | Fair line: 3.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fulham x Brighton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1232622 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fulham x Brighton

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔵 Fulham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $589.60;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$29.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$15.00.

Is it worth betting on Brighton?

🔴 Brighton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $499.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Brighton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Fulham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Fulham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Fulham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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