Fulham x Liverpool Betting tips for January 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Fulham x Liverpool, Sunday, 4/1/2026

📅 4/1/2026 15:00

Fulham 3.60

X 3.65

Liverpool 1.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fulham x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Fulham x Liverpool:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $232.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Liverpool, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Liverpool.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Liverpool has not lost any of them.

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Fulham vs Liverpool:

Lets analyze the match between Fulham and Liverpool at Craven Cottage, Fulhams traditional stadium, which certainly provides an important home advantage for the London team. 🏟️

📈 Fulham has shown a decent performance at home, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 games at their stadium, averaging 2 goals per game and conceding 1. They also maintain good ball possession (58%) and create more chances (15 shots per game) than they concede. Liverpool, on the other hand, has solid away stats: unbeaten in their last 5 league away games with 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging around 2 goals per match and possession close to their opponent (55%).

📰 Recent news indicates Fulham is seeking reinforcements to improve their squad under Marco Silva after a draw against Crystal Palace; Liverpool faces challenges such as lack of offensive creativity shown in their goalless draw against Leeds United and uncertainties about key players like Mohamed Salah due to AFCON. They are also active in the transfer window looking for defensive reinforcements.

Analyzing the median odds provided by bookmakers: Fulham @3.6 (implied probability ~27.8%), draw @3.65 (~27.4%), Liverpool @1.95 (~51.3%). Normalizing these probabilities to sum to 100%, we get approximately: Fulham win ~28%, Draw ~28%, Liverpool win ~44%.

Based on recent team statistics — offensive-defensive balance with a slight edge to Liverpool due to their away consistency — my fair estimate would be close to:

• Fulham win: about 30% — considering strong home advantage;
• Draw: about 25% — balanced matches tend to end in draws;
• Liverpool win: about 45% — slight technical superiority even away.

Thus, fair odds would be around: Fulham @3.33; Draw @4; Liverpool @2.22.

Comparing the expected value of the final odds (@3.8 for Fulham; @3.75 for draw; @1.909 for Liverpool) with my fair odds suggests that betting on Liverpool does not offer positive expected value, as the bookmakers pay less than my estimated fair odds (@2 vs around @2.22). Betting on Fulham or a draw might have higher value, especially Fulhams victory where bookmakers offer nearly @4 while I estimate fair odds around half that.

However, it is important to consider that the Bets Kenya model indicates positive value only on the away win (+15% EV), but I disagree with this view as I see a lower realistic probability of their victory given their recent less creative phase mentioned in the news.

Final suggestion:

• Moderate bet on Fulham victory, taking advantage of their good home form and extra motivation from the fans;
• Be cautious with bets on Liverpool despite the low odds — higher risk due to current offensive difficulties;
• You can also consider a double bet “Fulham or Draw” to reduce risk while maintaining a good profitable chance.

⚽ In summary: Craven Cottage is a tough stage for visitors, even big clubs like Liverpool face recent tactical issues, making this match open but favorable to the home team to surprise! 💥🔥 Let’s take this opportunity! 🚀🍀

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Fulham x Liverpool?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2026. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Fulham x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 4 of January

Latest news about Fulham x Liverpool

Fulham: Fulhams last match on January 1, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace, with midfielder Tom Cairney scoring the equalizer after Raul Jiménez saw his header hit the crossbar, while Palace goalkeeper Dean Henderson made a crucial save; after the preseason press conference with Marco Silva, Sky Sports highlighted potential transfer targets for the club, which aims to strengthen the squad before the next transfer window.

Liverpool: Liverpools latest Premier League fixture ended in a goalless draw at Anfield against Leeds United, revealing a recurring creativity problem in the final third and highlighting poor set-piece conversion, with the team still struggling to turn corners into goals. Arne Slots team made several changes, including the return of suspended Dominik Szoboszlai and the starts of Conor Bradley and Andrew Robertson, while Milos Kerkez, Federico Chiesa, and Alexis Mac Allister remained on the bench; Leeds also made changes, including substituting Dominic Calvert-Lewin with Lukas Nmecha. Off the pitch, Liverpool is ready to be active in the January transfer window, seeking a defender, a winger, and a central midfielder, with reported interest in Marc Guehi (who has already undergone a medical) and Antoine Semenyo, while a potential £43 million signing of defender Joel Ordonez from Club Brugge is also considered; meanwhile, Mohamed Salahs future remains uncertain during his absence from AFCON, and several key contracts are nearing expiry, including Ibrahima Konaté, Andy Robertson, Freddie Woodman, and Rhys Williams, prompting the club to consider early renewals or replacements.

England Premier League table analysis for Fulham x Liverpool

Fulham: Fulham is in 11th place with 27 points, in a comfortable position on the table. The team is not threatened with relegation and is also far from the qualification zones for international competitions, which makes the match against Liverpool of relatively low importance for them at this point in the season. The team can use this game to test itself against a strong opponent, but without direct pressure for bigger goals.

Liverpool: Liverpool is in 4th place with 33 points, fighting directly for a guaranteed spot in the Champions League. This match is quite important for Liverpool, as a victory can help keep the team near the top and pressure the leaders, as well as distancing themselves from the direct competitors just below. Therefore, the game is decisive for Liverpools attempt to stay among the top positions and secure access to the main European competition.

Summary: The match is of high importance for Liverpool, which seeks to consolidate its position in the Champions League zone, while for Fulham, the game is more relaxed and without major impacts on the fight for bigger objectives. Thus, the game matters more to Liverpool than to Fulham. ⚽

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fulham x Liverpool

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fulham and Liverpool.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1458345 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔵 Fulham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $520.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $530.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$270.00.

Should you bet on Liverpool?

🔴 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 590 times – profiting $560.50;
• And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$150.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Liverpool

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Fulham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Fulham.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.