Fulham x Southampton Betting tips for December 22 in England Premier League
📅 22/12/2024 14:00 |
Fulham 1.46 |
X 4.50 |
Southampton 6.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fulham x Southampton:
🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $730.00!
Some important points for the tip for Fulham x Southampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fulham x Southampton?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Fulham x Southampton for the England Premier League – 22 of December
🏟️ Fulham X Southampton – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fulham x Southampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1239261 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fulham x Southampton
Is it worth betting on Fulham?
🔵 Fulham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 90.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
- And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$314.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $175.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$775.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Southampton?
🔴 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $250.00;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$700.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Southampton
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Southampton
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Fulham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Fulham.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Fulham.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Southampton
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.