Ipswich x Chelsea Betting tips for December 30 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Ipswich x Chelsea, Monday, 30/12/2024

📅 30/12/2024 19:45

Ipswich 7.00

X 5.00

Chelsea 1.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ipswich x Chelsea:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Ipswich x Chelsea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ipswich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $253.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ipswich conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Chelsea has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Ipswich as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ipswich x Chelsea?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Ipswich x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 30 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ipswich x Chelsea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240492 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ipswich x Chelsea

Is it worth betting on Ipswich?

🔵 Ipswich: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $180.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$790.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$650.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Chelsea?

🔴 Chelsea: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 900 times – profiting $360.00;
• And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$260.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ipswich x Chelsea

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ipswich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ipswich x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Ipswich, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Ipswich.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Ipswich.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ipswich x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.