Ipswich x Newcastle Betting tips for December 21 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Ipswich x Newcastle, Saturday, 21/12/2024

📅 21/12/2024 15:00

Ipswich 4.50

X 3.90

Newcastle 1.73

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ipswich x Newcastle:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $865.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Ipswich x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ipswich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ipswich conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Ipswich x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ipswich and Newcastle.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238880 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ipswich x Newcastle

Is betting on Ipswich worth it?

🔵 Ipswich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $525.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $377.00;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$493.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Newcastle?

🔴 Newcastle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $525.60;
• And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$245.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ipswich x Newcastle

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Ipswich
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ipswich x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Ipswich and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Ipswich. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ipswich x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.