Leeds x Crystal Palace Betting tips for December 20 in England Premier League
| 📅 20/12/2025 20:00 |
 Leeds2.80 |
X 3.30 |
Crystal Palace  2.45 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leeds x Crystal Palace:
🔮 Leeds wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leeds, you can win up to $1400.00!
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!
Some important points for the tip for Leeds x Crystal Palace:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $73.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $251.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Leeds scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Crystal Palace, Leeds scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Leeds matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Crystal Palace did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Leeds conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Crystal Palace is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Leeds vs Crystal Palace?
Lets analyze the Leeds vs Crystal Palace match at Elland Road stadium, home of Leeds, which has a vibrant atmosphere and is an important factor for the home teams performance. 🏟️
📈 Leeds comes from a positive streak with three unbeaten games, including important points against Chelsea and Liverpool. At home, they average 2 goals scored per game and also concede about 2 goals. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has an efficient away attack (average of 1 goal conceded), but suffers from significant injuries in defense, especially on the right flank.
The median odds indicate a slight advantage for the visitor (Crystal Palace) with odds around 2.45 compared to 2.82 for Leeds and a draw at 3.3. After normalizing the implied probabilities of the median odds, we get approximately: Leeds win ~34%, draw ~30%, Crystal Palace win ~36%. Considering recent statistics and news, I would slightly adjust these probabilities to favor Leeds more due to the home crowd strength at Elland Road and their recent good form: Leeds win ~38%, draw ~28%, Crystal Palace win ~34%.
Calculating the fair odds based on this analysis, we get something close to:
- Leeds Win: 1 / 0.38 = 2.63
- Draw: 1 / 0.28 = 3.57
- Crystal Palace Win: 1 / 0.34 = 2.94
Looking at the final odds offered by bookmakers (Leeds at @2.55; Draw @3.3; Crystal Palace @2.7), we see that there is positive value mainly in betting on the home team (Leeds), as the odds offered are lower than my estimated fair odds for them — this generates a positive expected value.
The Bets Kenya model analysis indicates a strong positive expected value for the home win (13%) and a draw (9%), but gives a very high odds for the visitor (~4.46) which does not align with current data or injury news about the visiting team.
Final suggestion: Bet on Leeds United to win, taking advantage of their recent good form at home and the strength of the crowd at Elland Road — this bet has an expected value calculated to be over +10% according to my calculations.
📰 News heavily influenced my view: Leeds gaining confidence after recent good results against strong teams like Chelsea and Liverpool boosts their chances here; meanwhile, Crystal Palace faces serious defensive issues due to prolonged injury on the right flank, plus the pressure for immediate results due to the tight schedule.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Leeds x Crystal Palace?
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Analysis from Leeds x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 20 of December
🏟️ Leeds X Crystal Palace – England Premier League
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Leeds – Winning probability: 44.13% | Fair line: 2.27
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.27% | Fair line: 3.01
🔴 Crystal Palace – Winning probability: 22.61% | Fair line: 4.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leeds
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Leeds and Crystal Palace.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
The latest news about Leeds x Crystal Palace
Leeds United: Leeds United moved away from the relegation zone by earning a hard-fought 1-1 draw against Brentford, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin scoring the equalizer in the 82nd minute. The team gained momentum with recent points against Chelsea and Liverpool, leaving the relegation zone and recording a three-match unbeaten streak for the first time since 2022-23. Forward Noah Okafor promised to help keep the club in the Premier League beyond the 2025-26 season, while coach Daniel Farke remains optimistic — even joking that former Liverpool coach Jürgen Tuchel might call him about Calvert-Lewin. However, he admits Leeds away performance is still a weakness. Upcoming matches include hosting Manchester City at Elland Road on February 28, a Friday night clash against Nottingham Forest on February 6, and a home game against Brentford on December 14, 2025, at 4 pm.
Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace is facing several key issues during the 2025-26 season: coach Oliver Glasner, whose contract ends at the seasons close, has delayed formal talks but remains in charge. The club is actively seeking options for the right-back position after Daniel Muñoz suffered a knee injury that will sideline him for a long period, with veteran Nathaniel Clyne, 34, currently unsigned, and young prospect Rio Cardines also being considered. On the field, the team suffered a 3-0 defeat to Manchester City in the Premier League, their eighth time hitting the post this season, and currently sits fifth in the table, two points behind Chelsea. However, they recovered in the Conference League with a convincing 3-0 away win against Shelbourne in Dublin, with goals from Christantus Uche, Eddie Nketiah, and Yeremy Pino. Future plans include the first leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final against Arsenal (or another opponent) in early January, along with a series of Premier League matches against Fulham, Newcastle, Manchester United, and others throughout the month.
Table analysis for the match between Leeds and Crystal Palace
Leeds: Leeds is in 17th place with 16 points, very close to the relegation zone. With only a few rounds left in the league, every point is crucial to try to distance themselves from the Z-3 and avoid dropping to a lower division. Therefore, this match is extremely important for Leeds, as a victory could be vital to secure their stay in the Premier League and give a boost in the standings. ⚠️
Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace is in 5th place with 26 points, fighting for spots in European competitions like the Europa League. This match against Leeds is important to maintain stability at the top of the table and not give space to closer rivals in the G6 race. A win could also strengthen the teams confidence for the rest of the season. ⚽
Summary: The game is important for both teams: Leeds is fighting to avoid relegation, while Crystal Palace aims to consolidate its position in European competitions. A match full of pressure and great significance for both teams! 🔥
Tips for the Match Odds market for Leeds x Crystal Palace
Is it worth betting on Leeds?
🔵 Leeds: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $792.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$232.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $759.00;
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$89.00.
Is betting on Crystal Palace worth it?
🔴 Crystal Palace: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $333.50;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$436.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Leeds x Crystal Palace
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leeds
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leeds x Crystal Palace
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Leeds and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Leeds.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leeds x Crystal Palace
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
