Leicester x Everton Betting tips for September 21 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Leicester x Everton, Saturday, 21/9/2024

📅 21/9/2024 11:00

Leicester 2.38

X 3.50

Everton 2.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leicester x Everton:

🔮 Leicester wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leicester, you can win up to $1190.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Leicester x Everton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-380.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Leicester scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Everton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Leicester conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Everton.

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Analysis from Leicester x Everton for the England Premier League – 21 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leicester x Everton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1184423 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leicester x Everton

Should you bet on Leicester?

🔵 Leicester: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $745.20;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$285.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $450.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Everton?

🔴 Everton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $518.00
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Leicester x Everton

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Leicester
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leicester x Everton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Leicester and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Leicester.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leicester x Everton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.