Liverpool x Aston Villa Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League
| 📅 9/11/2024 20:00 |
 Liverpool1.48 |
X 5.00 |
Aston Villa  5.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Liverpool x Aston Villa:
🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $740.00!
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The main points for the tip for Liverpool x Aston Villa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $92.0. |
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Analysis from Liverpool x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 9 of November
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🏟️ Liverpool X Aston Villa – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x Aston Villa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Liverpool x Aston Villa
Is it worth betting on Liverpool?
🔵 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $398.40
- And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$228.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $520.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$350.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Aston Villa?
🔴 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $184.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$776.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Aston Villa
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Aston Villa
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Liverpool.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Aston Villa
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
