Liverpool x Brighton Betting tips for December 13 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Brighton, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025 15:00

Liverpool 1.70

X 4.20

Brighton 4.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Liverpool x Brighton:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $850.00!

🔮 Brighton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brighton, you can win up to $2300.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Liverpool x Brighton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Brighton, Liverpool scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Brighton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Liverpool x Brighton, with Liverpool as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Liverpool conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Liverpool conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Brighton.
👉 Liverpool is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 63.00% of possession.
👉 Liverpool has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Brighton playing at home.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Liverpool vs Brighton?

Lets analyze the match between Liverpool and Brighton at Anfield, Liverpools traditional stadium, which certainly gives an advantage to the home team. ⚽

📈 Liverpool has a mixed recent home record, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 games at Anfield. They score an average of 1 goal per game at home but also concede about 2 goals per match. Despite that, they dominate possession (60%) and have more shots (21) compared to the opponent (15). Brighton shows a reasonable away performance with a similar goal-scoring average (1 goal) but concedes fewer goals defensively.

📰 Recent news indicates Liverpool is on a high after an important Champions League victory against Inter Milan, even without their key player Mohamed Salah due to internal club issues. This absence might impact their offensive power in the Premier League. Meanwhile, Brighton is undergoing administrative changes with a new sporting director and seeks stability after a recent draw against West Ham.

Analyzing the median odds offered by bookmakers: Liverpool to win at 1.7 (implied probability ~58.8%), draw at 4.12 (~24.3%), and Brighton to win at 4.6 (~21.7%). Normalizing these probabilities to sum to 100%, we get approximately: Liverpool: 54%, Draw: 22%, Brighton: 24%.

Based on recent statistics combined with adjusted odds and considering external factors like Salahs absence and Brightons changes, I estimate fair probabilities close to these normalized values:

• Liverpool wins: ~55% – still the favorite despite internal instability when playing at Anfield;
• Draw: ~23% – possible given the defensive balance of both teams;
• Brighton wins: ~22% – a realistic chance given their solid defensive organization as visitors.

Calculating fair odds based on these probabilities would give values close to current odds for the home win (~1.82), draw (~4.35), and away win (~4.55).

Expected value analysis using the final market odds versus my fair estimates shows that betting on the away team might have moderate positive value because the final odds are higher than my predicted fair odds; betting on the home team has an EV close to but less than +5%, and a draw does not present a significant positive expected value.

Therefore, my suggestion is to consider a cautious bet on Brighton as a value bet in this match — they might surprise especially if Liverpools attack is weakened by Salahs absence or internal instabilities persist.

Bet suggested by the Bets Kenya model:

• Bet on the away win as it showed a positive EV above other analyzed markets (+6%). I partially agree because I see potential in this bet!

Overall, this analysis reinforces that despite Liverpools historical strength playing at Anfield 🏟️, recent internal factors could balance the forces against a well-organized Brighton away.

Lets take advantage of this opportunity! 💰⚽

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Analysis from Liverpool x Brighton for the England Premier League – 13 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x Brighton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Latest news about Liverpool x Brighton

Liverpool: Liverpool secured a 1-0 victory in the Champions League against Inter Milan at San Siro, a result marked by VAR controversy when Ibrahima Konatés opening goal was disallowed, before Dominik Szoboszlai converted a disputed penalty to secure the win and place Liverpool among the top eight in the group stage; the victory occurred while coach Arne Slot, under intense pressure, fielded a team without Mohamed Salah – who was excluded from the squad after a heated interview and public disagreement with Slot – and despite the tension, several Liverpool players publicly reaffirmed their support for Slot, while Virgil van Dijk spoke about Salahs future amid growing speculation that the Egyptian forward might be linked to a transfer to Saudi Arabia, although no concrete decision has been announced.

Brighton & Hove Albion: Brighton & Hove Albion recently appointed Jason Ayto as their new sporting director, with vice-president Paul Barber praising his talent and highlighting the clubs desire to bring new ideas and energy to recruitment; this follows the departure of technical director David Weir, who left the position on Friday as the club seeks new leadership in this area. In the Premier League, Brighton drew 1-1 with West Ham, earning a point when Georginio Rutter scored in stoppage time to equalize after Jarrod Bowens goal, a move that sparked debate over whether the late equalizer should have been disallowed.

Table analysis for the match between Liverpool and Brighton

Liverpool: Liverpool is in 10th place with 23 points, very close to the continental competition qualification zone which starts at 5th place with 25 points. The match against Brighton is very important for Liverpool, as a victory can help the team climb the table and fight for a spot in the Europa League. The competition is fierce and every point counts, so no slacking! ⚽🔥

Brighton: Brighton is just above Liverpool, in 8th place with 23 points, also near the spots that give access to international tournaments. For Brighton, this game is crucial to solidify their position at the top of the table and keep the dream of qualifying for Europe alive. A positive result gives an important boost for the rest of the season! 💪🌟

Summary: The match is very important for both teams, which are side by side in the table and seek better positions to secure spots in international competitions. It’s a game that can influence the morale and positioning of both in the championship! 👀🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Liverpool x Brighton

Is it a good idea to bet on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $427.00;
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$37.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is betting on Brighton worth it?

🔴 Brighton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $864.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$104.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Brighton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Liverpool.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Brighton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.