Liverpool x Chelsea Betting tips for October 20 in England Premier League
| 📅 20/10/2024 15:30 |
 Liverpool1.70 |
X 4.20 |
Chelsea  4.27 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Liverpool x Chelsea:
🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $850.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Liverpool x Chelsea: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $78.0. |
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Analysis from Liverpool x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 20 of October
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🏟️ Liverpool X Chelsea – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x Chelsea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204480 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Liverpool x Chelsea
Is it worth betting on Liverpool?
🔵 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 80.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$360.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $352.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$538.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Chelsea?
🔴 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $294.30
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$615.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Chelsea
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Chelsea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Liverpool.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Chelsea.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Chelsea
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
