Liverpool x Manchester City Betting tips for December 1 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Manchester City, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 16:00

Liverpool 2.22

X 3.61

Manchester City 3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Liverpool x Manchester City:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1805.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Liverpool x Manchester City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Liverpool did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Manchester City, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Liverpool matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Manchester City did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Manchester City conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Liverpool is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Liverpool has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Manchester City playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Liverpool x Manchester City?

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Analysis from Liverpool x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Liverpool and Manchester City.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Liverpool x Manchester City

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $561.20;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$21.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $809.10
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$119.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Manchester City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Liverpool.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.