Liverpool x Manchester City Betting tips for February 8 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Manchester City, Sunday, 8/2/2026

📅 8/2/2026 16:30

Liverpool 2.44

X 3.70

Manchester City 2.52

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Liverpool x Manchester City:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Liverpool x Manchester City

The main points for the tip for Liverpool x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-107.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Manchester City, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Liverpool x Manchester City, with Liverpool as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Manchester City conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Manchester City is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.
👉 Liverpool has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Manchester City playing at home.

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Liverpool vs Manchester City:

Lets analyze the showdown between Liverpool and Manchester City at the legendary Anfield stadium, home of Liverpool since 1892, with capacity for about 54,000 passionate fans. 🏟️

📈 Liverpool comes with a strong home performance: scored 15 goals in the last 5 matches at Anfield, conceding only 3, and remains unbeaten during this period (3 wins and 2 draws). The possession average is high (65%), with many shots on goal (25 per game) and accurate finishes (8), showing offensive dominance. Meanwhile, Manchester City has more modest away stats: averaging only 1 goal per match in recent away Premier League games, also conceding about 1 goal per game, and fewer accurate shots (3). Despite this, they maintain good ball possession (66%) even when playing away.

📰 Recent news reports indicate Liverpool has strengthened its defense by signing Jeremy Jacquet for the upcoming season due to current injury issues in the backline. Coach Arne Slot emphasizes that the team is adapting to the intense pace of the Premier League and aims to secure a spot in European competitions after currently being sixth in the table – so there is extra motivation to win this classic. On the other hand, Manchester City is riding high after securing a place in the Carabao Cup final with a convincing victory; Pep Guardiola has a strong squad but faces regulatory limitations regarding the use of new defender Marc Guehi.

Normalized implied odds suggest balanced chances between the two teams but slightly favoring the home team due to recent offensive strength.

Adjusted final market odds: Liverpools victory is around 2.375, while Manchester City has risen to about 2.75 – indicating greater confidence in the Reds win at Anfield.

The Bets Kenya model indicates a positive expected value only for betting on Liverpool (EV +8.85%), dismissing draws (-6%) and away wins (-20%). I fully agree! Playing at Anfield clearly gives Liverpool an advantage, especially considering the current defensive struggles of the visiting team combined with the Reds urgent need for important points in the standings.

Suggestion: bet on Liverpools victory, as recent stats show clear superiority in this head-to-head at their home ground — and there are reports of future defensive reinforcements, though current fragility — this bet offers a positive expected value above +5%!

Good luck! 🍀⚽

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Analysis from Liverpool x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 8 of February

The latest news about Liverpool x Manchester City

Liverpool: Liverpool confirmed the signing of £60 million from Rennes defender Jeremy Jacquet – a fixed fee of £55 million plus up to £5 million in bonuses – after he passed the medical exam on the last available transfer day; the 20-year-old will stay at Rennes until the end of the season before joining Anfield on July 1st, a move considered crucial as the club currently has only Virgil van Dijk and Ibrahima Konaté as available starting defenders, while injuries keep Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, and others out. Coach Arne Slot, who admitted not having foreseen the increased physical intensity of the Premier League this season, assures that his technically skilled team is adapting and emphasizes that playing attractive football is a long-term priority, despite the pressure, as Liverpool is in sixth place in February, outside Champions League spots. The recent 4-1 victory over Newcastle, marked by goals from former transfer target Hugo Ekitike and new signing Florian Wirtz, sparked optimism about the teams recovery, but the lack of depth in defense and the need to secure qualification for European competitions remain major concerns.

Manchester City: Manchester City’s team for the second leg of the Carabao Cup semi-final on February 4, 2026, featured Erling Haaland rested while Omar Marmoush started in attack, Phil Foden returned to the team, and Nico Gonzalez was used as a midfielder, helping City to win 3-1 (5-1 on aggregate), securing a spot in the final against Arsenal at Wembley on March 22. Coach Pep Guardiola made a public appeal for a rule change so that the newly signed defender Marc Guehi, who is currently ineligible under current regulations, can play in the final.

Table analysis for the game between Liverpool and Manchester City

Liverpool: Liverpool is in 6th place with 39 points, aiming to stay close to the qualification zone for European competitions. With a 1-point difference from Chelsea, which holds the last spot for the UEFA Europa League, this match is important for Liverpool to secure ongoing contention for a spot in international tournaments. Additionally, facing a direct rival at the top of the table presents a valuable opportunity to climb the standings.

Manchester City: Manchester City is in 2nd place with 47 points, 6 points behind the leader Arsenal. This match is crucial for City to reduce the gap to the top of the table and move closer to winning the title. A victory in this direct duel against Liverpool is essential to keep pressure on the leader and strengthen their chances in the championship.

Summary: This is a very important game for both teams: Liverpool fights to secure a spot in international competitions, while Manchester City seeks to get closer to the title. A high-stakes clash in the fight for the top of the table! ⚽🔥

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Liverpool x Manchester City

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Liverpool x Manchester City.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Liverpool x Manchester City

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x Manchester City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1475397 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $590.40;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$0.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $567.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$223.00.

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $562.40;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$67.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Manchester City

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Liverpool and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Liverpool.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Liverpool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Liverpool x Manchester City