Liverpool x West Ham Betting tips for February 28 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x West Ham, Saturday, 28/2/2026

📅 28/2/2026 15:00

Liverpool 1.37

X 5.22

West Ham 7.03

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Liverpool x West Ham:

🔮 West Ham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on West Ham, you can win up to $3515.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Liverpool x West Ham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on West Ham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $299.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, West Ham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against West Ham, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Liverpool matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Liverpool x West Ham, with Liverpool as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Liverpool conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against West Ham.
👉 Liverpool has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against West Ham.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Liverpool vs West Ham?

Lets analyze the match between Liverpool and West Ham at the legendary Anfield stadium, known for its electrifying atmosphere and clear home advantage. ⚽️

📈 Liverpool shows impressive home stats: an average of 3 goals per game, high ball possession (58%), and dominance in shots (23 per game). In the last 5 home games, they won 3, drew 1, and lost only 1. West Ham, on the other hand, has a more modest away record, averaging just 1 goal scored and a defense that concedes as much as it scores (average of 1 goal conceded). Additionally, the visitors are in the relegation zone of the Premier League, fighting to escape the drop with high pressure in upcoming matches.

📰 News indicates Liverpool faces recent physical challenges and tactical adjustments are needed after concerning matches. However, they remain active in major competitions like the Champions League. Conversely, West Ham is under strong pressure to avoid relegation; despite recent chances created, they havent converted them into goals against Bournemouth.

Analyzing the median odds offered by bookmakers: Liverpool to win at 1.37 (implied probability ~73%), draw at 5.25 (~19%), and West Ham to win at 7.06 (~14%). After normalization for the bookmakers margin, approximate fair probabilities are: Liverpool ~68%, draw ~18%, West Ham ~14%. Combining offensive/defensive stats with this fair probabilistic analysis adjusted to current team form:

• Estimated fair probability:
• Liverpool win: about 70%
• Draw: about 17%
• West Ham win: about 13%

The fair odds for Liverpools victory would then be approximately between 1.40 – 1.45, while current odds are close to that (around 1.4), indicating little value margin in this bet.

The final odds for a draw are around 5, but our probability suggests a fair value lower (~17%), i.e., fair odds close to 6. Betting on a draw might have some moderate positive expected value.

The final odds for West Hams victory are high (~7), but their actual probability is low (<15%), suggesting this bet carries high risk with little positive expected value.

Analyzing the expected values from the Bets Kenya model shows a negative EV for Liverpool win (-10%) and draw (-20%), but a very high EV for the visiting team win (+41%). I disagree with this assessment because the statistical data clearly shows Liverpools superiority playing at Anfield against a team pressured by relegation; also, recent physical fragility news isnt enough to nullify the historical home advantage of this offensively strong team.

Suggestion:
Bet on the “draw” result as it might offer moderate positive value due to attractive odds versus adjusted probability.
Avoid direct bets on the away win or exaggerated favoritism towards the home team without considering current physical/tactical scenarios.
The market slightly underestimates the surprise potential of a draw given the tense scenario with West Ham trying to hold points away.

Always remember:
Anfield is a tough cauldron for any visitor! But football is unpredictable — stay tuned for final lineups!

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📰 News influenced my analysis highlighting recent physical wear on Liverpool but still active in major competitions; meanwhile, West Ham is in a critical moment fighting relegation with an urgent need for points even away.

📈 In the Premier League table, this reflects a comfortable home team seeking to maintain a high position while visitors desperately try to escape the danger zone — an important motivational factor in this match!

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Analysis from Liverpool x West Ham for the England Premier League – 28 of February

Latest news about Liverpool x West Ham

Liverpool: Liverpools recent form has raised questions about the teams physical intensity, with coach Arne Slot acknowledging that the squad lacks the robustness seen in rivals and that midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai, who recorded the highest sprint distance of any player this season, embodies the physicality that is missing; former defender Jamie Carragher also called for tactical adjustments after a concerning display against Nottingham Forest, while the club remains active in both the FA Cup and the Champions League knockout stages, where a draw could pit them against Tottenham or Atlético Madrid, and financial reports show Liverpool has generated around £84 million in revenue this season from Champions League participation.

West Ham United: West Ham United, managed by Nuno Espírito Santo, remains in the fight against relegation in the Premier League, sitting 18th and just two points below the safety zone, with eleven games remaining after a goalless draw against Bournemouth at London Stadium on February 21, 2026; despite creating 20 shots and an expected goals (xG) total of 2.87 – the highest xG of any team that did not score in a match this season – the Hammers failed to break the deadlock, with key chances missed by Taty Castellanos, Jarrod Bowen, and a shot saved at the last moment by Callum Wilson, while Crysencio Summerville was named the best player of the match with an 8-star rating.

Table analysis for the match between Liverpool and West Ham

Liverpool: This match is quite important for Liverpool, which is in 6th place with 45 points, fighting to secure a spot in the Champions League. The gap to the 4th place, the last position that guarantees a direct spot in the competition, is only 3 points, and the season is still ongoing, making this game crucial for the team to keep climbing the table and not lose momentum in the fight for the top.

West Ham: For West Ham, the importance is also high, but for a different reason. The team is in the relegation zone, in 18th place with 25 points, and desperately needs points to try to avoid relegation. Every game carries enormous weight, and this matchup against a mid-table team could be decisive in maintaining hope for Premier League survival.

Summary: The game is very important for both teams, as Liverpool aims to establish itself in the fight for European competition spots, while West Ham fights to escape relegation. Both teams have strong reasons to enter motivated and seek the result.

Odds and handicap movements for Liverpool x West Ham

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Liverpool x West Ham.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Liverpool x West Ham

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x West Ham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1488477 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 640 times – profiting $236.80;
• And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$123.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $675.20;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.80.

Should you bet on West Ham?

🔴 West Ham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $1206.00
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$406.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x West Ham

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x West Ham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Liverpool.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 West Ham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x West Ham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Liverpool x West Ham