Manchester City x Fulham Betting tips for October 5 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Fulham, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 11:00

Manchester City 1.20

X 6.60

Fulham 12.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Fulham:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $600.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Manchester City x Fulham: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-33.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Fulham scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fulham, Manchester City scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Fulham matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Manchester City x Fulham, with Manchester City as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Manchester City conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Fulham. 👉 Manchester City is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Fulham has not lost any of them. 👉 Manchester City has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Fulham.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Manchester City x Fulham?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Manchester City x Fulham:

Analysis from Manchester City x Fulham for the England Premier League – 5 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Manchester City x Fulham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194677 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Manchester City x Fulham

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester City?

🔵 Manchester City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 950 times – this would give you a profit of $190.00
• And would lose other 50 times – having a loss of -$50.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$140.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $224.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$736.00.

Should you bet on Fulham?

🔴 Fulham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 12.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $110.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$880.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Fulham

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Fulham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Manchester City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Manchester City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Fulham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Fulham

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.