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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Manchester City x Liverpool Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Premier League
Man City Man City
PREDICTION Man City wins Probability 2% 1 X 2
Liverpool Liverpool
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester City x Liverpool Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Liverpool, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:30
Manchester City Manchester City
1.68
X
4.20
Liverpool Liverpool
4.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Liverpool:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Manchester City wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Manchester City x Liverpool:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $76.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Manchester City scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Liverpool, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Manchester City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Manchester City x Liverpool, with Manchester City as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Liverpool conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Manchester City conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Liverpool.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Liverpool is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 67.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Manchester City is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Manchester City x Liverpool

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Manchester City x Liverpool?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Manchester City x Liverpool, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Manchester City x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Manchester City X Liverpool – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:30
๐Ÿ”ต Manchester City – Winning probability: 94.96% | Fair line: 1.05
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.33% | Fair line: 42.99
๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool – Winning probability: 2.71% | Fair line: 36.91
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Manchester City
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Manchester City and Liverpool.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City x Liverpool

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

๐Ÿ”ต Manchester City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 94.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – profiting $646.00;
  • And would lose other 50 times – losing -$50.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$596.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $64.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$916.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Liverpool?

๐Ÿ”ด Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $102.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$868.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Liverpool

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Manchester City
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Liverpool

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Manchester City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Manchester City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Manchester City.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Liverpool

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves