Manchester City x Manchester United Betting tips for December 15 in England Premier League
📅 15/12/2024 16:30 |
Manchester City 1.53 |
X 4.50 |
Manchester United 5.25 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Manchester City x Manchester United:
🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $765.00!
Important information for your tip for Manchester City x Manchester United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-146.0. |
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Analysis from Manchester City x Manchester United for the England Premier League – 15 of December
🏟️ Manchester City X Manchester United – England Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Manchester City x Manchester United right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236762 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City x Manchester United
Should you bet on Manchester City?
🔵 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $445.20
- And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$285.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $245.00
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$685.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester United?
🔴 Manchester United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $425.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$475.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Manchester United
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Manchester United
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Manchester City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Manchester City.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Manchester City.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Manchester United
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.