Manchester City x Newcastle Betting tips for February 21 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Newcastle, Saturday, 21/2/2026

📅 21/2/2026 20:00

Manchester City 1.50

X 4.66

Newcastle 5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Newcastle:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $2750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Manchester City x Newcastle:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $166.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Newcastle, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Newcastle matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Manchester City is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Manchester City has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Newcastle.

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Analysis from Manchester City x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 21 of February

Odds and handicap movements for Manchester City x Newcastle

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Manchester City x Newcastle.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City x Newcastle

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Manchester City and Newcastle.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1482962 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester City?

🔵 Manchester City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $295.00
• And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$115.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $695.40;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$114.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Newcastle worth it?

🔴 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $990.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$210.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Newcastle

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Manchester City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Manchester City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Newcastle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Manchester City x Newcastle