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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Manchester United x Chelsea Betting tips for November 3 in England Premier League
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 16h30 England Premier League
Manchester United Manchester United
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Chelsea Chelsea
ODD: @3.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester United x Chelsea Betting tips for November 3 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester United x Chelsea, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
16:30
Manchester United Manchester United
2.44
X
3.65
Chelsea Chelsea
2.63

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manchester United x Chelsea:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1825.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Manchester United x Chelsea:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-91.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Chelsea, Manchester United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Manchester United matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Manchester United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Chelsea conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Manchester United conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Chelsea.
👉 Manchester United has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Chelsea playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Manchester United x Chelsea?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Manchester United x Chelsea:

Analysis from Manchester United x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 3 of November

🏟️ Manchester United X Chelsea – England Premier League
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Manchester United – Winning probability: 30.58% | Fair line: 3.27
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.52% | Fair line: 2.47
🔴 Chelsea – Winning probability: 28.90% | Fair line: 3.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Manchester United and Chelsea.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1214487 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Manchester United x Chelsea

Is betting on Manchester United worth it?

🔵 Manchester United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $446.40
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$243.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $1086.50
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$496.50.

Is it worth betting on Chelsea?

🔴 Chelsea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $472.70
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$237.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester United x Chelsea

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester United x Chelsea

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Manchester United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Manchester United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Manchester United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester United x Chelsea

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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