Manchester United x Crystal Palace Betting tips for March 1 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester United x Crystal Palace, Sunday, 1/3/2026

📅 1/3/2026 14:00

Manchester United 1.60

X 4.10

Crystal Palace 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Manchester United x Crystal Palace:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $2050.00!

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $2500.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Manchester United x Crystal Palace:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Manchester United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Crystal Palace matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Manchester United is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Crystal Palace has not lost any of them.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Manchester United vs Crystal Palace?

Lets analyze the match between Manchester United and Crystal Palace at the iconic Old Trafford stadium, which is the traditional home of Manchester United, giving them a natural advantage. ⚽

📊 Recent statistics show that Manchester United has a solid home performance, averaging 1.8 goals scored per game in the last 5 home matches and only 1 goal conceded per game. They also have high averages of shots (16) and ball possession (51%), indicating control of the game. Crystal Palace, on the other hand, has more modest averages away from home, with about 1.0 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match, along with lower offensive volume.

📈 In the Premier League table, Manchester United is in fourth place with a recent unbeaten streak that boosts their morale to maintain or even improve this important European qualification position. Crystal Palace is riding high after important wins in the Conference League and Premier League, but still occupies a lower position in the table and faces greater pressure away from home.

📰 The news reinforces this scenario: Manchester United, under interim manager Michael Carrick, is confident after ten games without a loss; additionally, there are positive movements within and outside the club indicating growing stability. Crystal Palace is in good form in European competitions but still needs to prove strength against bigger teams like United.

Analyzing the median odds provided by betting houses (Manchester United win at 1.6; draw at 4.1; Crystal Palace win at 5), the implied normalized probabilities are approximately: Manchester United win ~58%, draw ~22%, Crystal Palace win ~20%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats and current form, these probabilities seem fair.

However, our internal model suggests much higher odds for a draw (~3.67) and an away win (~3.71), indicating a positive expected value in these bets — especially the away win with EV above +40%. I disagree with this view because the data clearly shows Manchester Uniteds offensive and defensive superiority at home, combined with extra motivation due to their league position.

Suggestion: The safest bet here is to wager on Manchester Uniteds fair victory with odds close to the bookmakers (around 1.6). I believe trying value on other options might be too risky given the current context of the teams.

🔥 In summary: The recommended bet is Manchester United to win, as they play at their historic stadium Old Trafford, where they are defensively strong and motivated by recent good form — this provides security even with lower odds!

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Analysis from Manchester United x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 1 of March

Latest news on Manchester United x Crystal Palace

Manchester United: Manchester United, now managed by Michael Carrick, extended their unbeaten streak to ten games and are in fourth place in the Premier League after a 1-0 victory over Everton, where substitute Benjamin Sesko scored his third goal from the bench this season; former player Gary Neville believes the United can finish third as rivals are distracted with European commitments, while the clubs latest financial statements show increased profits despite a revenue drop and reaffirm the £640 to £660 million target for the full fiscal year; additionally, active negotiations continue with United linked to Nottingham Forest midfielder Morgan Gibbs-White and former goalkeeper Edwin van der Sar, who is in talks for an executive role at Old Trafford.

Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace secured a 2-0 home victory against Zrinjski Mostar on February 26, 2026, with goals from Maxence Lacroix and Evann Guessand, ensuring an aggregate win of 3-1 and a spot in the UEFA Conference League round of 16, where the draw will determine whether they face Mainz or AEK Larnaca; despite strong pressure, coach Oliver Glasner received guarantees to stay in charge and asked fans to remain humble as the club celebrates consecutive wins for the first time since December, including a Premier League victory over Wolves on February 22, now looking forward to a key match against Manchester United at Selhurst Park.

Table analysis for the match between Manchester United and Crystal Palace

Manchester United: Manchester United is in 4th place in the league with 48 points, currently securing a spot in the Champions League, which is a very important goal for the club. With teams like Chelsea and Liverpool close behind with 45 points, maintaining their position is crucial to guarantee this direct qualification. Therefore, this match against Crystal Palace is very important for Manchester United, as a victory helps to maintain or increase the lead in the race for a place in the main phase of the European competition.

Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace is in 13th position with 35 points, far from the qualification zones for international competitions and away from relegation danger. With a comfortable gap from both groups, the match has little impact on the fight for major objectives. Thus, for Palace, the game has less importance, being more an opportunity to accumulate points and improve their final position, but without direct decisive pressures.

Summary: The game is important for Manchester United, which needs to confirm its spot in the Champions League, while Crystal Palace plays with less pressure, making the duel more decisive for just one team.

How the handicap and odds moved for Manchester United x Crystal Palace

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Manchester United x Crystal Palace.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester United x Crystal Palace

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Manchester United and Crystal Palace.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1488452 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is betting on Manchester United worth it?

🔵 Manchester United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $276.00
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $837.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$107.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Crystal Palace?

🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $1080.00
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$350.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester United x Crystal Palace

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester United x Crystal Palace

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Manchester United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Manchester United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester United x Crystal Palace

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Manchester United x Crystal Palace