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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Manchester United x Everton Betting tips for December 1 in England Premier League
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 England Premier League
Manchester United Manchester United
PREDICTION Manchester United wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Everton Everton
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester United x Everton Betting tips for December 1 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester United x Everton, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
Manchester United Manchester United
1.53
X
4.20
Everton Everton
5.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manchester United x Everton:

🔮 Manchester United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester United, you can win up to $765.00!

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The main points for the tip for Manchester United x Everton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Everton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Manchester United scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Everton, Manchester United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Everton matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Manchester United is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Manchester United has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Everton playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Manchester United x Everton for the England Premier League – 1 of December

🏟️ Manchester United X Everton – England Premier League
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Manchester United – Winning probability: 76.72% | Fair line: 1.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.85% | Fair line: 5.31
🔴 Everton – Winning probability: 4.44% | Fair line: 22.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Manchester United x Everton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Manchester United x Everton

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester United?

🔵 Manchester United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 76.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $408.10
  • And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$178.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $608.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.00.

Is it worth betting on Everton?

🔴 Everton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $188.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$772.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester United x Everton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester United x Everton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Manchester United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Manchester United.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Everton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester United x Everton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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