Manchester United x Newcastle Betting tips for December 30 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester United x Newcastle, Monday, 30/12/2024

📅 30/12/2024 20:00

Manchester United 2.25

X 3.60

Newcastle 3.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Manchester United x Newcastle:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Manchester United x Newcastle

Some important points for the tip for Manchester United x Newcastle: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-68.0. 👉 Manchester United did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Manchester United scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Manchester United did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team. 👉 Manchester United is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Manchester United x Newcastle?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Manchester United x Newcastle, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Manchester United x Newcastle for the England Premier League – 30 of December

When the best bet on Manchester United x Newcastle is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240492 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Manchester United x Newcastle

Is it a good idea to bet on Manchester United?

🔵 Manchester United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $462.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $754.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$44.00.

Is it worth betting on Newcastle?

🔴 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $680.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester United x Newcastle

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Manchester United
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester United x Newcastle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Manchester United and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Manchester United.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester United x Newcastle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.