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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Newcastle x Chelsea Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Premier League
Newcastle Newcastle
PREDICTION Newcastle wins Probability 27% 1 X 2
Chelsea Chelsea
ODD: @2.11 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Newcastle x Chelsea Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Chelsea, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Newcastle Newcastle
2.11
X
3.60
Chelsea Chelsea
3.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Newcastle x Chelsea:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Newcastle wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $1055.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Newcastle x Chelsea:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $305.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $192.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Chelsea has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Newcastle x Chelsea

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Newcastle x Chelsea?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Newcastle x Chelsea:

Analysis from Newcastle x Chelsea for the England Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Newcastle X Chelsea – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Newcastle – Winning probability: 56.96% | Fair line: 1.76
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.61% | Fair line: 6.41
๐Ÿ”ด Chelsea – Winning probability: 27.43% | Fair line: 3.65
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newcastle
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Newcastle x Chelsea is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Chelsea

Is it a good idea to bet on Newcastle?

๐Ÿ”ต Newcastle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $632.70
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$202.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $416.00;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$424.00.

Is betting on Chelsea worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $561.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$168.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Chelsea

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newcastle
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Chelsea

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Newcastle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Newcastle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Newcastle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Chelsea

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves