Newcastle x Liverpool Betting tips for December 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Liverpool, Wednesday, 4/12/2024

📅 4/12/2024 19:30

Newcastle 3.70

X 3.80

Liverpool 1.93

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newcastle x Liverpool:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $1850.00!

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $965.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Newcastle x Liverpool: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $232.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $43.0. 👉 In the last 6 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Liverpool. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Liverpool has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Liverpool won the last 3 head-to-head matches Newcastle´s territory

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Newcastle x Liverpool?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Newcastle x Liverpool:

Analysis from Newcastle x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 4 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle and Liverpool.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232417 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newcastle x Liverpool

Should you bet on Newcastle?

🔵 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $783.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$73.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $280.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔴 Liverpool: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $567.30;
• And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$177.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Liverpool

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Newcastle. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.